
In the research process of this project, a combination of quantitative modeling and semi-quantitative analysis was adopted, and methods such as failure mode and impact analysis (FMEA), reliability block diagram, and risk score table were integrated, and 6 oil production plants in the Tuha Oilfield were established. A total of 33 sets of main control systems (excluding duplicated systems) were used to calculate the operational risk quantitative analysis model and the semi-quantitative analysis evaluation model, which enabled the quantitative analysis of the availability of the in-service automatic control system and its performance, reliability, and task independence. Comprehensive assessment of six key factors that affect the smooth operation of the system, including performance, functionality, and external environmental conditions. Based on the evaluation results, solutions and suggestions for system updating and transformation were given from the aspects of hardware, structure, operation and maintenance, management, and staffing of the system.
The research results of the automatic control system operating risk analysis and evaluation model and "automated control risk assessment system" software for the domestic initiative, to fill the gaps in the country. The project results have laid a solid foundation for further periodic evaluation of oilfield automation systems and provided an effective means for risk prediction. For the discovery and prevention of factors that affect the smooth operation rate of the oilfield automation system, it is of great significance to establish corresponding preventive measures and response plans.